Kinsale Capital Group Stock Performance

KNSL Stock  USD 374.00  5.57  1.47%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.69, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Kinsale Capital's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Kinsale Capital is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Kinsale Capital Group has a negative expected return of -0.023%. Please make sure to verify Kinsale Capital's total risk alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Kinsale Capital Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Kinsale Capital Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, Kinsale Capital is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more
 
Kinsale Capital dividend paid on 11th of December 2025
12/11/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow126.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-960.1 M

Kinsale Capital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  38,473  in Kinsale Capital Group on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,073) from holding Kinsale Capital Group or give up 2.79% of portfolio value over 90 days. Kinsale Capital Group is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.2075% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Kinsale, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Kinsale Capital is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.96 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

Kinsale Capital Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Kinsale Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 374.00 90 days 374.00 
about 89.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kinsale Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.81 (This Kinsale Capital Group probability density function shows the probability of Kinsale Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Kinsale Capital has a beta of 0.69. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kinsale Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kinsale Capital Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kinsale Capital Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kinsale Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kinsale Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kinsale Capital Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kinsale Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
371.97374.18376.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
336.60408.71410.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
360.73362.94365.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
90.82392.09693.37
Details

Kinsale Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kinsale Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kinsale Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kinsale Capital Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kinsale Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.69
σ
Overall volatility
13.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Kinsale Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kinsale Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kinsale Capital Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kinsale Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kinsale Capital Group currently holds 224.4 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.07, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Kinsale Capital Group has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Kinsale Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Kinsale Capital has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 91.0% of Kinsale Capital shares are owned by institutional investors

Kinsale Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kinsale Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kinsale Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kinsale Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments167.2 M

Kinsale Capital Fundamentals Growth

Kinsale Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Kinsale Capital, and Kinsale Capital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Kinsale Stock performance.

About Kinsale Capital Performance

By examining Kinsale Capital's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Kinsale Capital's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Kinsale Capital is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc., a specialty insurance company, provides property and casualty insurance products in the United States. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia. Kinsale Capital operates under InsuranceProperty Casualty classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 364 people.

Things to note about Kinsale Capital Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kinsale Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Kinsale Capital Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kinsale Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kinsale Capital Group currently holds 224.4 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.07, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Kinsale Capital Group has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Kinsale Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Kinsale Capital has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 91.0% of Kinsale Capital shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Kinsale Capital's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Kinsale Capital's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Kinsale Capital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Kinsale Capital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Kinsale Capital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Kinsale Capital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Kinsale Capital's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Kinsale Capital's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Kinsale Capital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Kinsale Capital's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Kinsale Capital's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Kinsale Capital Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Kinsale Capital's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Kinsale Capital's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Kinsale Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Kinsale Capital Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kinsale Capital. Expected growth trajectory for Kinsale significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Kinsale Capital assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate Kinsale Capital Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Kinsale Capital's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Kinsale Capital's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Kinsale Capital's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Kinsale Capital represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Kinsale Capital's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.